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Re: thereby hangs a tale [Re: wofahulicodoc] #207573
10/08/12 05:14 PM
10/08/12 05:14 PM
Joined: Nov 2011
Posts: 1,075
Lancaster, UK
Rhubarb Commando Offline
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Rhubarb Commando  Offline
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As a gambler, I work on hunches (unless playing blackjack!) so I would probably stick to my first choice - my hunch, which was good enough for me at 25:1, must be even better at evens! Now, I only have one chance of being wrong.
And you still cannot be sure of my sex - of the eleven people attending my local GA group, five are women.


I'm immortal until proven otherwise
Re: thereby hangs a tale [Re: Rhubarb Commando] #207575
10/08/12 09:11 PM
10/08/12 09:11 PM
Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 1,069
London, UK
A
A C Bowden Offline
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A C Bowden  Offline
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London, UK
There was a 4% chance that your choice (box #7) was right. You haven't changed your choice, and the people in boxes #7 and #8 haven't moved, so there is still only a 4% chance that your choice is right. Since the woman is either in box #7 or box #8, there must therefore be a 96% chance that she is in box #8. So you should definitely change to box #8!

Here is another way of looking at it. You chose box #7 at random. However, if you were wrong (which you almost certainly were), the gameshow host chose box #8 knowing that it was right. So box #8 is almost certainly right.

Re: thereby hangs a tale [Re: A C Bowden] #207578
10/09/12 01:39 AM
10/09/12 01:39 AM
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Avy Offline
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*** I had written some long winded silly (as usual) reasoning, which was all wrong. I am deleting it. I am sorry about this. ***

Last edited by Avy; 10/09/12 12:11 PM.
Re: thereby hangs a tale [Re: Avy] #207580
10/09/12 02:46 PM
10/09/12 02:46 PM
Joined: Jun 2010
Posts: 1,554
Lower Aberdeen, Mississippi
J
jenny jenny Offline
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jenny jenny  Offline
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Posts: 1,554
Lower Aberdeen, Mississippi
No need to apologize, Ivy, this discussion is only an interlude until someone can make a rhyme.

AC, I say "yes". Always switch your one in twenty-five to your fifty-fifty choice.
EXCEPT:
Ask yourself what are the odds of the right box being directly on either side of your #7 ? One in twelve, right? Pretty high odds so your boxmaster might (if he thinks you are bright) try to trick you into a switch from your #7 by placing a man's box next to the woman's number. [Maybe that's what you said but I am confused by your math] confused

And Wofahulic, you are right, the beautiful woman with a flaw is Hillary Clinton who insisted she be called "beautiful" and lied when she said she was named after Sir Edmund Hillary. Nice trick. Hillary Rodam Clinton was born in 1947 and Sir Edmund climbed Everest in 1953. Which brings us to our Hilary.

Either me, or Rubarb, is trying to find his or her sex nitch.
Ok, Rube, answer this question: Are you a woman?
blush You show me yours and I'll show you mine. laugh

Last edited by jenny jenny; 10/10/12 12:36 AM.
[Re: Rhubarb Commando] #207585
10/09/12 07:11 PM
10/09/12 07:11 PM
Joined: May 2010
Posts: 959
Alaska
Tromboniator Offline
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Alaska
How to say this and still be discreet?
The words that you offer repeat
The ones that you chose
Only six months ago,
So: Disclaimer: Does not mean I cheat!

GELATO – GENERATION

Re: [Re: Tromboniator] #207606
10/11/12 12:52 PM
10/11/12 12:52 PM
Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 1,069
London, UK
A
A C Bowden Offline
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A C Bowden  Offline
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Joined: Oct 2010
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London, UK
A restaurant topped its gelato
With a small heart-shaped slice of tomato*.
It called its creation
"The Love Generation",
And served it with sparkling rosato.

*British pronunciation.

NOSE – NOTHINGNESS

Re: [Re: A C Bowden] #207621
10/12/12 01:24 AM
10/12/12 01:24 AM
Joined: May 2010
Posts: 959
Alaska
Tromboniator Offline
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Tromboniator  Offline
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Posts: 959
Alaska
She tended to turn up her nose
At fashions that failed to disclose.
She elected to dress
In sheer nothingness,
Despite the fact bits of her froze.

OCTUPLET – OFF

Re: [Re: Tromboniator] #207625
10/12/12 10:31 AM
10/12/12 10:31 AM
Joined: Nov 2011
Posts: 1,075
Lancaster, UK
Rhubarb Commando Offline
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Rhubarb Commando  Offline
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Posts: 1,075
Lancaster, UK
Well, that sets the imagination running. Just a second while I take my tablets ..................

Nice one, Trombo!


I'm immortal until proven otherwise
Gasp! [Re: Rhubarb Commando] #207627
10/12/12 10:53 AM
10/12/12 10:53 AM
Joined: May 2010
Posts: 959
Alaska
Tromboniator Offline
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Tromboniator  Offline
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Alaska
Thanks, Rhuby. Suddenly realized I started us rolling with nothing in the subject line. By the time I tried to fix it it was too late. Something like…"She's Way Cool!"

Re: Gasp! [Re: Jackie] #207628
10/12/12 11:34 AM
10/12/12 11:34 AM
Joined: Sep 2010
Posts: 1,706
down under
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Pooh-Bah
Candy  Offline
Pooh-Bah
Joined: Sep 2010
Posts: 1,706
down under
All good here...of course. Anu might make them into a book smile

And Peter...you could edit your work and add 'She's Way Cool' as title...if you wanted too.

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