Well, I've hardly seen anything, so I don't have much to base an opinion on. The only foreign film I saw this year was Amelie--and it blew me away completely. In fact, it was my favorite movie all year long of those I did see in a theatre.
I was mad about "Moulin Rouge"--loved it, was amazed at how it frolicked and was so completely, wildly creative just to be able to do what they did with probably a limitless budget. And the CD is just so great. But Oscar material? I dunno. Probably not.
I haven't see "A Beautiful Mind," but everybody I know who has says Crowe is great in it--but everybody I know who went to see Crowe in it has a big crush on him, my daughter most droolingly.
So, I really don't have much of an opinion based on my lack of knowledge here. I hope Nicole Kidman wins something simply because she was fun in Moulin Rouge and was completely different in the ghost story ("The Others"--was that the title?)--plus she went through a pretty hard year emotionally. Ha! I know that's not a consideration, but, heh, everybody's thinking it anyway, so why not post it here!
Still, if "Amelie" wins something and more people go to see it, great. I'm all for promoting any work of art that elevates the world of the imagination to its rightful position in the grand scheme of things.
Best regards,
DubDabbednotinthisyear'smovies