the *kicker in this problem is Monty Hall (the rat). He knows which is the right door, and will always reveal a wrong one. In doing so, he "freezes" the odds on your first choice at one in three! but the remaining door obviously has odds of one in two of being right!!

and the real gut-shot is that if you get down to the last two cases in Deal or No Deal, it's just a coin flip.

edit: not that I expect this will sway any doubters..

Last edited by tsuwm; 11/09/06 09:41 PM.