Quote:

>but I also know that the odds are four to one against turning up a vowel in the flip.

this is where you've totally, irrevocably screwed the pooch. the odds of turning up a vowel "in the flip" depend completely on the (perverted?) nature of the person who selected the card in the first instance.




That's my boy, Joe, you are completely right. But since we know not of the nature of his "perversion" we must employ the "laws of probability" in order to make the best guess.

And the best guess is to choose card "A" first in order to avoid having to guess a vowel at one in four odds.

Whew, now I feel better knowing that Joe is on my side.

Last edited by themilum; 11/02/06 01:34 AM.